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Trade and Trump: the US economy in 2017
GRI Debate: Will Donald Trump’s protectionist measures cause a downward turn? A month into office, Trump has taken a tough stance on trade from “America First” to scrapping TPP. GRI asked two of its...
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Future Generator: Why media is negative on the Senkaku Islands
The ‘Future Generator’ is a highly unique and cutting-edge approach to forecasting ‘media sentiment’, developed by a partnership between Global Risk Insights (GRI) and Ethnographic Edge (EE). The aim...
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Can Nieto make Mexico great again?
The promise to make America great again found an unlikely echo in Mexico, feeding off the frustration over Nieto’s energy reforms. Pierre-Olivier Bussières examines the impact this could have on...
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South Korean president’s trial likely to conclude as Samsung imbroglio heats up. Bosnia seeks revision of 2007 UN court ruling absolving Serbia of genocide. Campaigning begins in Turkey for...
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Why energy reforms are Algeria’s biggest challenge yet
Algeria has begun a series of energy reforms that have provoked deep social unrest in one of the last bastions of stability in North Africa. Algeria, a country of 40 million, is one of the top three...
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Under the Radar: Sri Lanka’s drought threatens credit downgrade
Sri Lanka’s ongoing drought is not only a humanitarian crisis, but also an economic one, as the country’s economy suffers on multiple fronts. Sri Lanka has been experiencing rainfall shortages since...
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Reform and modernization in Kazakhstan
Pierre-Olivier Bussières examines the impact of new reforms in Kazakhstan. This past January, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev announced an unprecedented shift of presidential power, followed by...
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French elections slide into greater uncertainty as right and far-right face new headwinds. U.S. unemployment numbers could make March rate hike almost certain. China GDP growth goal take center stage...
View ArticleSpecial Report: Can China overcome the Malacca Dilemma through OBOR and CPEC?
‘The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road’, more commonly referred to as the ‘One Belt, One Road’ or ‘OBOR’, is the brainchild of China’s foremost princeling and paramount...
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Dutch elections will test the viability of the populist right in Europe. Fillon tries to stabilize the French center right as Macron gains support from left and center. Federal Reserve likely to raise...
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Under the Radar: Cameroon’s crackdown is creating internet refugees
Cameroon’s internet blackout is stoking regional unrest, threatening trade and creating internet refugees as a humanitarian crisis looms in the background. March 7th marked fifty days of no internet...
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Future Generator: Bosnia’s near-term media coverage to be increasingly negative
The ‘Future Generator’ is a highly unique and cutting-edge approach to forecasting ‘media sentiment’, developed by a partnership between Global Risk Insights (GRI) and Ethnographic Edge (EE). The aim...
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Under the Radar: Tajikistan on track to be the next Afghanistan
Tajikistan, the world’s leading exporter of suicide bombers to ISIS has the potential to become the next terrorist hotspot as a host of factors converge to put the small Central Asian nation at serious...
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Uncertainty hits the oil markets. Tensions heat up between Scotland and Westminster. Corruption scandal in Brazil hits dozens across the political spectrum. All in The Week Ahead. Time to look at oil...
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Under the Radar: What’s behind China’s love affair with Morocco?
From trade to tourism, Morocco is quickly becoming a media darling in China, as the country’s stability, location and culture entice Chinese investment. Chinese involvement and investment in Africa is...
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Confusion on Capitol Hill, Article 50 is triggered by Whitehall, and an election run-off in Quito. Following Healthcare Debacle, Confusion Sets in on Viable Path Forward for Other Policies Last...
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Moody’s rates South Africa. Venezuela’s crisis deepens. Gibraltar complicates Brexit negotiations. Paraguay weighs term limits. All in The Week Ahead. South African’s Zuma replaces finance minister...
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Under the Radar: What Trump, Trudeau and the Security Council all agree on
The Trump administration joins UN Security Council calls for peacekeeping reform and reduced expenditure in the DRC, but there is more than meets the eye. Donald Trump’s America First Budget targets a...
View ArticleWhy the West needs to re-examine how it helps the Kurdistan Regional Government
By George Dyson and Rebwar Rawf Salih The West should use military aid to the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) to leverage political reform, or risk inadvertently worsening regional security. For...
View ArticleSino-Indian push and pull may hurt Nepal in the long term
Nepal’s policymakers are used to a delicate balancing act. But the constant maintenance of equilibrium between Chinese and Indian interests keep it from forging a stronger relationship with either...
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